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Win probability analysis with transparent factor breakdowns.

Today's predictions → Model divergences →Week 4predictions →
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New games are on the way

The NFL season is underway. Upcoming games show up here as soon as the schedule syncs.

  • Factor breakdowns for every matchup: home field, injuries, weather
  • Updated probabilities as injury reports drop
  • Track your favorite teams all season
  • See which factors are moving the numbers
Season in progress
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Featured Games

Closest upcoming matchups

Week 5Featured
Titans logo
TEN53%
vs
Texans logo
HOU47%
Home advantage
Sun, Oct 11, 2026, 5:00 PMView analysis →
Week 5Featured
Chargers logo
LAC47%
vs
Broncos logo
DEN54%
Home advantage
Sun, Oct 11, 2026, 8:05 PMView analysis →
Week 5Featured
Cardinals logo
ARI54%
vs
Lions logo
DET46%
Home advantage
Sun, Oct 11, 2026, 8:25 PMView analysis →
Week 5Featured
Rams logo
LAR55%
vs
Bills logo
BUF45%
Home advantage
Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 12:15 AMView analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

Win probabilities are calculated using a statistical model that weighs multiple factors including team strength ratings, weather conditions, injury reports, and historical performance data.

Probabilities are recalculated whenever significant new information becomes available, such as updated injury reports. For scheduled games, this typically happens daily.

Our model considers home field advantage, weather conditions, injury impact, historical team performance, and rest days.