New York Giants at Miami Dolphins

NFLWeek 4 • regular • 2025

completed

Dolphins

Miami

Giants

New York

MIA 56%44% NYG

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VenueHard Rock Stadium

Miami Gardens, FL

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Giants (away)

Dolphins (home)

44%

Win probability

56%

High-impact factors

Players ruled out

Dolphins won 27-21

Dolphins won by a solid margin

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Dolphins at 56%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

NYG

MIA

Home Field Advantage

Rest Days

Favours NYG|Favours MIA

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Team Performance

Low impactHow team performanceworks →

4 factors

Offensive Efficiency

No offensive stats available for comparison

Neutral

Defensive Efficiency

No defensive stats available for comparison

Neutral

Recent Form

No recent form data available

Neutral

Turnover Differential

No turnover stats available for comparison

Neutral

Injuries & Personnel

Low impactHow injuries & personnelworks →

1 factor

Injuries

Similar injury situations: Miami Dolphins (0 out) vs New York Jets (0 out)

Neutral

Home & Venue

Medium impactHow home & venueworks →

1 factor

Home Field Advantage

Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

Dolphins

Rest & Schedule

Low impact

1 factor

Rest Days

Miami Dolphins has rest advantage (10 days) over New York Jets (8 days)

Dolphins

Historical

Low impactHow historicalworks →

1 factor

Head to Head

No recent head-to-head history available

Neutral

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/27/2026, 10:41:18 PM

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NFL Win Probability

How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics

4 min readRead article

Deep Dive

Home Field Advantage

How playing at home affects NFL win probability

3 min readRead article

Deep Dive

NFL Weather Impact

How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions

3 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Dolphins has a 56% win probability, while Giants has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL.

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