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Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears

NFLWeek 1 • regular • 2025
completed
Bears logo
Bears
Chicago
24
vs
Vikings logo
Vikings
Minnesota
27
CHI 56%44% MIN
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueSoldier Field
Chicago, IL

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Vikings (away)
Bears (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Vikings defeated the Bears 27-24.

Our model predicted the Bears would win with 56% confidence, but the Vikings pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Bears and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days was neutral and a contributing factor: Rest day data not available for this matchup
  • Weather Impact was neutral and a contributing factor: Weather data not available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Vikings won 24-27

Vikings won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Bears at 56%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

MIN
CHI
Home Field Advantage
Favours MIN|Favours CHI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/27/2026, 10:41:16 PM

Frequently Asked Questions

Bears has a 56% win probability, while Vikings has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Soldier Field in Chicago, IL.

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