Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Colts defeated the Patriots 25-24.
Our model predicted the Colts would win with 62% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Patriots has a 38% win probability, while Colts has a 62% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA.