NBA2026-27 season
Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Head-to-head win probability for NBA. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Wed, Oct 7, 2026
This season
2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
No 2026-27 meetings yet.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Milwaukee Bucks
- Injuries — Bucks healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Raptors 1 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage — Bucks are 0-3 at home this season; Raptors are 1-2 on the road
Oklahoma City Thunder
- Defensive Efficiency — Thunder defense (94.0 Opp PPG) better than Wizards (114.0 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating — Thunder ELO 1642 vs Wizards ELO 1382 (diff: +260)
- Home Field Advantage — Thunder are 2-2 at home this season; Wizards are 1-1 on the road
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.