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NBA2026-27 season

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Head-to-head win probability for NBA. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Next meeting

Fri, Nov 6, 2026

Grizzlies logo
MEM
Memphis Grizzlies
Upcoming
Thunder logo
OKC
Oklahoma City Thunder
MEM 63%37% OKC
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This season

2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Memphis Grizzlies
  • Offensive Efficiency — Grizzlies offense (117.0 PPG) outpaces Thunder (106.0 PPG)
  • Injuries — Grizzlies healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Thunder 3 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage — Grizzlies are 2-1 at home this season; Thunder are 1-2 on the road
Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Defensive Efficiency — Thunder defense (94.0 Opp PPG) better than Wizards (114.0 Opp PPG)
  • ELO Rating — Thunder ELO 1642 vs Wizards ELO 1382 (diff: +260)
  • Home Field Advantage — Thunder are 2-2 at home this season; Wizards are 1-1 on the road

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