NBA2026-27 season
Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Head-to-head win probability for NBA. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Next meeting
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
This season
2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Dallas Mavericks
- Defensive Efficiency — Mavericks defense (116.5 Opp PPG) better than Jazz (121.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency — Mavericks offense (115.5 PPG) outpaces Jazz (111.5 PPG)
- ELO Rating — Mavericks ELO 1423 vs Jazz ELO 1370 (diff: +53)
Oklahoma City Thunder
- Defensive Efficiency — Thunder defense (94.0 Opp PPG) better than Wizards (114.0 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating — Thunder ELO 1642 vs Wizards ELO 1382 (diff: +260)
- Home Field Advantage — Thunder are 2-2 at home this season; Wizards are 1-1 on the road
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