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San Antonio Spurs at Portland Trail Blazers

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Trail Blazers logo
Trail Blazers
Portland
108
vs
Spurs logo
Spurs
San Antonio
120
POR 20%80% SAS
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueModa Center
Portland, OR

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Spurs (away)
Trail Blazers (home)
80%
Win probability
20%
2
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Spurs defeated the Trail Blazers 120-108.

Our model predicted the Spurs would win with 80% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Spurs and was a major factor: Spurs defense (111.7 Opp PPG) better than Trail Blazers (117.1 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Spurs and was a major factor: Spurs offense (118.8 PPG) outpaces Trail Blazers (115.1 PPG)
  • Recent Form favored the Spurs and was a notable factor: Spurs (53-18) in better form than Trail Blazers (35-36)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Spurs won 108-120

Spurs won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Spurs at 80%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

SAS
POR
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
Favours SAS|Favours POR

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Spurs defense (111.7 Opp PPG) better than Trail Blazers (117.1 Opp PPG)

Spurs

Offensive Efficiency

Spurs offense (118.8 PPG) outpaces Trail Blazers (115.1 PPG)

Spurs

Recent Form

Spurs (53-18) in better form than Trail Blazers (35-36)

Spurs

Turnover Differential

Trail Blazers turnover differential (+0) vs Spurs (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/24/2026, 8:30:02 AM

Key Players

Spurs

Stephon CastleG
De'Aaron FoxG
Dylan HarperG
Jordan McLaughlinG
Devin VassellG

Trail Blazers

Sidy CissokoG
Shaedon SharpeG
Chris YoungbloodG
Scoot HendersonG
Jrue HolidayG

Frequently Asked Questions

Trail Blazers has a 20% win probability, while Spurs has a 80% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Moda Center in Portland, OR.

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