Portland Trail Blazers at San Antonio Spurs
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Trail Blazers defeated the Spurs 106-103.
Our model predicted the Spurs would win with 87% confidence, but the Trail Blazers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Spurs and was a major factor: Spurs defense (111.7 Opp PPG) better than Trail Blazers (117.1 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Spurs and was a major factor: Spurs offense (118.8 PPG) outpaces Trail Blazers (115.1 PPG)
- Recent Form favored the Spurs and was a notable factor: Spurs (53-18) in better form than Trail Blazers (35-36)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Trail Blazers won in a close game
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Spurs defense (111.7 Opp PPG) better than Trail Blazers (117.1 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Spurs offense (118.8 PPG) outpaces Trail Blazers (115.1 PPG)
Recent Form
Spurs (53-18) in better form than Trail Blazers (35-36)
Turnover Differential
Spurs turnover differential (+0) vs Trail Blazers (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
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Key Players
Trail Blazers
Spurs
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Spurs has a 87% win probability, while Trail Blazers has a 13% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, TX.