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Houston Rockets at Los Angeles Lakers

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Lakers logo
Lakers
Los Angeles
101
vs
Rockets logo
Rockets
Houston
94
LAL 47%53% HOU
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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Venuecrypto.com Arena
Los Angeles, CA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Rockets (away)
Lakers (home)
53%
Win probability
47%
1
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Lakers defeated the Rockets 101-94.

Our model predicted the Rockets would win with 53% confidence, but the Lakers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Rockets and was a major factor: Rockets defense (109.9 Opp PPG) better than Lakers (114.9 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Lakers and was a notable factor: Lakers offense (116.6 PPG) outpaces Rockets (113.9 PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Lakers and was a notable factor: Lakers are 0-0 at home this season

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Lakers won 101-94

Lakers won comfortably

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Rockets at 53%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

HOU
LAL
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Favours HOU|Favours LAL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Rockets defense (109.9 Opp PPG) better than Lakers (114.9 Opp PPG)

Rockets

Offensive Efficiency

Lakers offense (116.6 PPG) outpaces Rockets (113.9 PPG)

Lakers

Recent Form

Similar form: Lakers (46-25) vs Rockets (43-27)

Neutral

Turnover Differential

Lakers turnover differential (+0) vs Rockets (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/21/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Key Players

Rockets

Tristen NewtonG
JD DavisonG
Aaron HolidayG
Josh OkogieG
Reed SheppardG

Lakers

Bronny JamesG
Luke KennardG
Chris ManonG
Austin ReavesG
Marcus SmartG

Frequently Asked Questions

Lakers has a 47% win probability, while Rockets has a 53% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, CA.

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