PlayDecoded
Menu

Orlando Magic at Detroit Pistons

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Pistons logo
Pistons
Detroit
116
vs
Magic logo
Magic
Orlando
94
DET 81%19% ORL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Make Your Prediction

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenueLittle Caesars Arena
Detroit, MI

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Magic (away)
Pistons (home)
19%
Win probability
81%
0
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Pistons defeated the Magic 116-94.

Our model predicted the Pistons would win with 81% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Pistons and was a major factor: Pistons defense (109.5 Opp PPG) better than Magic (114.3 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Pistons and was a notable factor: Pistons offense (117.4 PPG) outpaces Magic (115.5 PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Pistons and was a notable factor: Pistons are 0-0 at home this season

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Pistons won 116-94

Pistons won in a blowout

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Pistons at 81%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

ORL
DET
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Favours ORL|Favours DET

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Pistons

Our Model81%

Magic

Our Model19%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Pistons defense (109.5 Opp PPG) better than Magic (114.3 Opp PPG)

Pistons

Offensive Efficiency

Pistons offense (117.4 PPG) outpaces Magic (115.5 PPG)

Pistons

Recent Form

Pistons (51-19) in better form than Magic (38-32)

Pistons

Turnover Differential

Pistons turnover differential (+0) vs Magic (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/3/2026, 8:30:02 AM

Key Players

Magic

Alex MoralesG
Jalen SuggsG
Jett HowardG
Anthony BlackG
Desmond BaneG

Pistons

Cade CunninghamG
Javonte GreenG
Kevin HuerterG
Daniss JenkinsG
Chaz LanierG

Frequently Asked Questions

Pistons has a 81% win probability, while Magic has a 19% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI.

View all NBA games