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Toronto Raptors at Cleveland Cavaliers

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Cavaliers logo
Cavaliers
Cleveland
114
vs
Raptors logo
Raptors
Toronto
102
CLE 66%34% TOR
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueRocket Arena
Cleveland, OH

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Raptors (away)
Cavaliers (home)
34%
Win probability
66%
0
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Cavaliers defeated the Raptors 114-102.

Our model predicted the Cavaliers would win with 66% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Cavaliers and was a major factor: Cavaliers offense (119.1 PPG) outpaces Raptors (114.0 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Raptors and was a notable factor: Raptors defense (112.0 Opp PPG) better than Cavaliers (114.7 Opp PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Cavaliers and was a notable factor: Cavaliers are 0-0 at home this season

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Cavaliers won 114-102

Cavaliers won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Cavaliers at 66%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

TOR
CLE
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Favours TOR|Favours CLE

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Cavaliers

Our Model66%

Raptors

Our Model34%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Offensive Efficiency

Cavaliers offense (119.1 PPG) outpaces Raptors (114.0 PPG)

Cavaliers

Defensive Efficiency

Raptors defense (112.0 Opp PPG) better than Cavaliers (114.7 Opp PPG)

Raptors

Recent Form

Cavaliers (44-27) in better form than Raptors (39-30)

Cavaliers

Turnover Differential

Cavaliers turnover differential (+0) vs Raptors (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/3/2026, 8:30:02 AM

Key Players

Raptors

Gradey DickG
Alijah MartinG
Chucky HepburnG
A.J. LawsonG
Ja'Kobe WalterG

Cavaliers

Max StrusG
Jaylon TysonG
Sam MerrillG
Donovan MitchellG
Keon EllisG

Frequently Asked Questions

Cavaliers has a 66% win probability, while Raptors has a 34% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Rocket Arena in Cleveland, OH.

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