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Detroit Pistons at Orlando Magic

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Magic logo
Magic
Orlando
79
vs
Pistons logo
Pistons
Detroit
93
ORL 28%72% DET
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueKia Center
Orlando, FL

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Pistons (away)
Magic (home)
72%
Win probability
28%
1
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Pistons defeated the Magic 93-79.

Our model predicted the Pistons would win with 72% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Pistons and was a major factor: Pistons defense (109.5 Opp PPG) better than Magic (114.3 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Pistons and was a notable factor: Pistons offense (117.4 PPG) outpaces Magic (115.5 PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Magic and was a notable factor: Magic are 0-0 at home this season

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Pistons won 79-93

Pistons won convincingly

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Pistons at 72%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

DET
ORL
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Favours DET|Favours ORL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Magic

Our Model28%

Pistons

Our Model72%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Pistons defense (109.5 Opp PPG) better than Magic (114.3 Opp PPG)

Pistons

Offensive Efficiency

Pistons offense (117.4 PPG) outpaces Magic (115.5 PPG)

Pistons

Recent Form

Pistons (51-19) in better form than Magic (38-32)

Pistons

Turnover Differential

Magic turnover differential (+0) vs Pistons (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/1/2026, 8:30:02 AM

Key Players

Pistons

Cade CunninghamG
Javonte GreenG
Kevin HuerterG
Daniss JenkinsG
Chaz LanierG

Magic

Alex MoralesG
Jalen SuggsG
Jett HowardG
Anthony BlackG
Desmond BaneG

Frequently Asked Questions

Magic has a 28% win probability, while Pistons has a 72% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Kia Center in Orlando, FL.

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