Cleveland Cavaliers at Toronto Raptors
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Raptors defeated the Cavaliers 112-110.
Our model predicted the Cavaliers would win with 54% confidence, but the Raptors pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Cavaliers and was a major factor: Cavaliers offense (119.1 PPG) outpaces Raptors (114.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Raptors and was a notable factor: Raptors defense (112.0 Opp PPG) better than Cavaliers (114.7 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Raptors and was a notable factor: Raptors are 0-0 at home this season
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Raptors won in a close game
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Raptors
Cavaliers
Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Cavaliers offense (119.1 PPG) outpaces Raptors (114.0 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Raptors defense (112.0 Opp PPG) better than Cavaliers (114.7 Opp PPG)
Recent Form
Cavaliers (44-27) in better form than Raptors (39-30)
Turnover Differential
Raptors turnover differential (+0) vs Cavaliers (+0)
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1 factor
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Key Players
Cavaliers
Raptors
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Raptors has a 46% win probability, while Cavaliers has a 54% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON.