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New York Knicks at Atlanta Hawks

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Hawks logo
Hawks
Atlanta
89
vs
Knicks logo
Knicks
New York
140
ATL 34%66% NYK
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueState Farm Arena
Atlanta, GA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Knicks (away)
Hawks (home)
66%
Win probability
34%
1
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Knicks defeated the Hawks 140-89.

Our model predicted the Knicks would win with 66% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Knicks and was a major factor: Knicks defense (110.3 Opp PPG) better than Hawks (116.5 Opp PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Hawks and was a contributing factor: Hawks are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Hawks and was a contributing factor: Hawks offense (117.7 PPG) outpaces Knicks (116.8 PPG)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Knicks won 89-140

Knicks won in a blowout

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Knicks at 66%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

NYK
ATL
Defensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Favours NYK|Favours ATL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Knicks defense (110.3 Opp PPG) better than Hawks (116.5 Opp PPG)

Knicks

Offensive Efficiency

Hawks offense (117.7 PPG) outpaces Knicks (116.8 PPG)

Hawks

Recent Form

Knicks (46-25) in better form than Hawks (39-32)

Knicks

Turnover Differential

Hawks turnover differential (+0) vs Knicks (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/30/2026, 8:30:03 AM

Key Players

Knicks

Jalen BrunsonG
Jordan ClarksonG
Miles McBrideG
Kevin McCullar Jr.G
Landry ShametG

Hawks

Caleb HoustanG
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG
Dyson DanielsG
RayJ DennisG
Buddy HieldG

Frequently Asked Questions

Hawks has a 34% win probability, while Knicks has a 66% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA.

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