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Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
76ers logo
76ers
Philadelphia
106
vs
Celtics logo
Celtics
Boston
93
PHI 35%65% BOS
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueXfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia, PA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Celtics (away)
76ers (home)
65%
Win probability
35%
1
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The 76ers defeated the Celtics 106-93.

Our model predicted the Celtics would win with 65% confidence, but the 76ers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Celtics and was a major factor: Celtics defense (107.0 Opp PPG) better than 76ers (116.1 Opp PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the 76ers and was a notable factor: 76ers are 0-0 at home this season
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the 76ers and was a contributing factor: 76ers offense (115.6 PPG) outpaces Celtics (114.4 PPG)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

76ers won 106-93

76ers won comfortably

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Celtics at 65%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

BOS
PHI
Defensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Favours BOS|Favours PHI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Celtics defense (107.0 Opp PPG) better than 76ers (116.1 Opp PPG)

Celtics

Offensive Efficiency

76ers offense (115.6 PPG) outpaces Celtics (114.4 PPG)

76ers

Recent Form

Celtics (47-23) in better form than 76ers (39-32)

Celtics

Turnover Differential

76ers turnover differential (+0) vs Celtics (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/30/2026, 8:30:03 AM

Key Players

Celtics

Hugo GonzalezG
Ron Harper Jr.G
Payton PritchardG
Baylor ScheiermanG
Jaylen BrownG

76ers

Kelly Oubre Jr.G
Tyrese MartinG
Tyrese MaxeyG
Quentin GrimesG
Kyle LowryG

Frequently Asked Questions

76ers has a 35% win probability, while Celtics has a 65% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.

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