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New Orleans Pelicans at Minnesota Timberwolves

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Timberwolves logo
Timberwolves
Minnesota
132
vs
Pelicans logo
Pelicans
New Orleans
126
MIN 81%19% NOP
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueTarget Center
Minneapolis, MN

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Pelicans (away)
Timberwolves (home)
19%
Win probability
81%
0
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Timberwolves defeated the Pelicans 132-126.

Our model predicted the Timberwolves would win with 81% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Timberwolves and was a major factor: Timberwolves defense (114.8 Opp PPG) better than Pelicans (119.2 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Timberwolves and was a notable factor: Timberwolves offense (118.6 PPG) outpaces Pelicans (115.6 PPG)
  • Recent Form favored the Timberwolves and was a contributing factor: Timberwolves (43-28) in better form than Pelicans (25-47)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Timberwolves won 132-126

Timberwolves won by a solid margin

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Timberwolves at 81%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

NOP
MIN
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours NOP|Favours MIN

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Timberwolves defense (114.8 Opp PPG) better than Pelicans (119.2 Opp PPG)

Timberwolves

Offensive Efficiency

Timberwolves offense (118.6 PPG) outpaces Pelicans (115.6 PPG)

Timberwolves

Recent Form

Timberwolves (43-28) in better form than Pelicans (25-47)

Timberwolves

Turnover Differential

Timberwolves turnover differential (+0) vs Pelicans (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/12/2026, 8:30:03 AM

Key Players

Pelicans

Trey AlexanderG
Saddiq BeyG
Jeremiah FearsG
Jordan HawkinsG
Bryce McGowensG

Timberwolves

Bones HylandG
Mike ConleyG
Donte DiVincenzoG
Ayo DosunmuG
Zyon PullinG

Frequently Asked Questions

Timberwolves has a 81% win probability, while Pelicans has a 19% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Target Center in Minneapolis, MN.

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