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Detroit Pistons at Philadelphia 76ers

NBAregular • 2026-27 Season
Scheduled
76ers logo
76ers
Philadelphia
0
vs
Pistons logo
Pistons
Detroit
0
PHI 59%41% DET
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Philadelphia 76ers 59% to win. The top 3 signals favoring 76ers:

  • Defensive Efficiency. 76ers defense (103.0 Opp PPG) better than Pistons (113.0 Opp PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage. 76ers are 2-1 at home this season; Pistons are 2-1 on the road
  • Injuries. 76ers less affected by injuries: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Pistons 0 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Pistons players matter more

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VenueXfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia, PA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Pistons (away)
76ers (home)
41%
Win probability
59%
1
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Pistons at 76ers

The Pistons visit the 76ers at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA in 2027-2028 NBA regular play.

Our model gives the 76ers a 59% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Pistons to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Offensive Efficiency favors the Pistons (high): Pistons offense (121.0 PPG) outpaces 76ers (110.0 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency favors the 76ers (high): 76ers defense (103.0 Opp PPG) better than Pistons (113.0 Opp PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favors the 76ers (medium): 76ers are 2-1 at home this season; Pistons are 2-1 on the road
76ers59%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Offensive Efficiency
Favors DET

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Offensive EfficiencyFavors Detroit Pistons
  • Defensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • InjuriesFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • Rest DaysFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • ELO RatingFavors Detroit Pistons
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

DET
PHI
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Injuries
Rest Days
ELO Rating
Favours DET|Favours PHI

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Offensive Efficiency

Pistons offense (121.0 PPG) outpaces 76ers (110.0 PPG)

Pistons

Defensive Efficiency

76ers defense (103.0 Opp PPG) better than Pistons (113.0 Opp PPG)

76ers

Turnover Differential

76ers turnover differential (+0) vs Pistons (+0)

Neutral

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/24/2026, 3:00:12 AM

76ers

No injuries reported

Pistons

Jalen DurenC(Thigh)
QUESTIONABLE
Ausar ThompsonG(Undisclosed)
QUESTIONABLE

Key Players

Pistons

Cade CunninghamG
Javonte GreenG
Elijah HarklessG
Isaiah JoeG
Ausar ThompsonGQUESTIONABLE

76ers

Jaylen BrownG
VJ EdgecombeG
Tyrese MaxeyG
Kentavious Caldwell-PopeG
Labaron Philon Jr.G

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NBA Win Probability

How we calculate NBA game outcome probabilities

4 min readRead article
Deep Dive

Back-to-Back Fatigue

How schedule and rest affect NBA game outcomes

3 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

76ers has a 59% win probability, while Pistons has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.

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