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Dallas Mavericks at Portland Trail Blazers

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Trail Blazers logo
Trail Blazers
Portland
93
vs
Mavericks logo
Mavericks
Dallas
100
POR 71%29% DAL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueModa Center
Portland, OR

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Mavericks (away)
Trail Blazers (home)
29%
Win probability
71%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Mavericks defeated the Trail Blazers 100-93.

Our model predicted the Trail Blazers would win with 71% confidence, but the Mavericks pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Trail Blazers and was a notable factor: Trail Blazers offense (115.1 PPG) outpaces Mavericks (113.3 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Trail Blazers and was a contributing factor: Trail Blazers defense (117.1 Opp PPG) better than Mavericks (118.7 Opp PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Trail Blazers and was a notable factor: Trail Blazers are 0-0 at home this season

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Mavericks won 93-100

Mavericks won comfortably

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Trail Blazers at 71%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

DAL
POR
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Favours DAL|Favours POR

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/27/2026, 8:30:02 AM

Key Players

Mavericks

Max ChristieG
Brandon WilliamsG
Klay ThompsonG
Ryan NembhardG
Kyrie IrvingG

Trail Blazers

Caleb LoveG
Shaedon SharpeG
Sidy CissokoG
Chris YoungbloodG
Scoot HendersonG

Frequently Asked Questions

Trail Blazers has a 71% win probability, while Mavericks has a 29% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Moda Center in Portland, OR.

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