MLB2026 season
San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- SF at SDSun, Aug 2, 2026SD 56%SD 4–5
- SF at SDSat, Aug 1, 2026SD 56%SD 5–6
- SF at SDFri, Jul 31, 2026SD 56%SD 0–7
- SF at SDThu, Jul 30, 2026SD 56%SF 4–1
- SD at SFWed, May 6, 2026SF 55%SD 5–1
- SD at SFTue, May 5, 2026SF 55%SD 10–5
- SD at SFMon, May 4, 2026SF 55%SF 2–3
- SF at SDWed, Apr 1, 2026SD 55%SD 1–7
- SF at SDTue, Mar 31, 2026SD 55%SF 9–3
- SF at SDMon, Mar 30, 2026SD 55%SF 3–2
- SF at SDMon, Mar 16, 2026SD 55%SD 1–3
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
55%
6 of 11 decided games
Meetings graded
11
2026
Correct calls
6
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
San Diego Padres
- Injuries — Padres healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Brewers 5 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage — Padres are 46-31 at home this season; Brewers are 42-31 on the road
San Francisco Giants
- Home Field Advantage — Giants are 33-34 at home this season; Dodgers are 43-26 on the road
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