MLB2026 season
Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- STL at MILSun, Sep 27, 2026MIL 75%MIL 4–6
- STL at MILSat, Sep 26, 2026MIL 75%MIL 2–3
- STL at MILFri, Sep 25, 2026MIL 71%MIL 4–8
- MIL at STLThu, Jul 9, 2026STL 52%MIL 8–4
- MIL at STLWed, Jul 8, 2026STL 52%STL 1–5
- MIL at STLTue, Jul 7, 2026STL 52%MIL 10–2
- MIL at STLTue, Jul 7, 2026STL 52%MIL 4–3
- MIL at STLMon, Jul 6, 2026STL 52%MIL 4–3
- STL at MILWed, May 27, 2026MIL 57%MIL 1–2
- STL at MILTue, May 26, 2026MIL 57%MIL 0–6
- STL at MILMon, May 25, 2026MIL 57%MIL 1–5
- MIL at STLWed, May 6, 2026STL 55%MIL 6–2
- MIL at STLMon, May 4, 2026STL 55%STL 3–6
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
62%
8 of 13 decided games
Meetings graded
13
2026
Correct calls
8
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Milwaukee Brewers
- Injuries — Brewers healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Rays 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Offensive Efficiency — Brewers offense (5.1 R/G) outpaces Rays (4.5 R/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Brewers are 54-26 at home this season; Rays are 36-42 on the road
St. Louis Cardinals
- Injuries — Cardinals healthier (6 out, 0 doubtful) vs Brewers (6 out, 0 doubtful)
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