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Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Cardinals logo
Cardinals
St. Louis
6
vs
Brewers logo
Brewers
Milwaukee
3
STL 55%45% MIL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueBusch Stadium
St. Louis, Missouri

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Brewers (away)
Cardinals (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Cardinals defeated the Brewers 6-3.

Our model predicted the Cardinals would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Cardinals and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available
  • Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Cardinals (0 out) vs Brewers (0 out)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Cardinals won 6-3

Cardinals won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Cardinals at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

MIL
STL
Home Field Advantage
Favours MIL|Favours STL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Cardinals

Our Model55%

Brewers

Our Model45%

Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/4/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Brewers

Brandon SproatSP
Logan HendersonSP
Robert GasserSP
Kyle HarrisonSP
Jacob MisiorowskiSP

Cardinals

Andre PallanteSP
Matthew LiberatoreSP
Kyle LeahySP
Dustin MaySP
Michael McGreevySP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Cardinals has a 55% win probability, while Brewers has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri.

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