MLB2026 season
Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Jun 28, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- MIA at STLSun, Jun 28, 2026STL 54%STL 1–2
- MIA at STLSat, Jun 27, 2026STL 54%MIA 5–1
- MIA at STLFri, Jun 26, 2026STL 54%MIA 4–0
- STL at MIAWed, Apr 22, 2026MIA 55%MIA 1–4
- STL at MIATue, Apr 21, 2026MIA 55%STL 5–3
- STL at MIAMon, Apr 20, 2026MIA 55%MIA 3–5
- MIA at STLSat, Mar 21, 2026STL 55%STL 4–7
- STL at MIASat, Mar 14, 2026MIA 55%Tie 7–7
- STL at MIASun, Mar 8, 2026MIA 56%Tie 2–2
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
57%
4 of 7 decided games
Meetings graded
9
2 ties
Correct calls
4
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Miami Marlins
- Injuries — Marlins healthier (10 out, 0 doubtful) vs Braves (10 out, 0 doubtful)
- Home Field Advantage — Marlins are 38-28 at home this season; Braves are 39-33 on the road
St. Louis Cardinals
- Injuries — Cardinals healthier (6 out, 0 doubtful) vs Brewers (6 out, 0 doubtful)
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