MLB2026 season
Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Thu, Sep 24, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- SD at LADThu, Sep 24, 2026LAD 71%SD 4–2
- SD at LADWed, Sep 23, 2026LAD 56%SD 5–1
- SD at LADTue, Sep 22, 2026—LAD 0–7
- SD at LADSun, Jul 5, 2026LAD 55%SD 5–2
- SD at LADSat, Jul 4, 2026LAD 55%LAD 0–3
- SD at LADFri, Jul 3, 2026LAD 55%LAD 3–4
- SD at LADThu, Jul 2, 2026LAD 55%LAD 7–12
- LAD at SDSun, Jun 28, 2026SD 55%LAD 4–2
- LAD at SDSat, Jun 27, 2026SD 55%LAD 15–3
- LAD at SDFri, Jun 26, 2026SD 55%SD 1–7
- LAD at SDWed, May 20, 2026SD 55%LAD 4–0
- LAD at SDTue, May 19, 2026SD 55%LAD 5–4
- LAD at SDMon, May 18, 2026SD 55%SD 0–1
- SD at LADFri, Mar 20, 2026LAD 55%LAD 3–4
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
46%
6 of 13 decided games
Meetings graded
13
2026
Correct calls
6
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Injuries — Dodgers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Brewers 5 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage — Dodgers are 42-29 at home this season; Brewers are 44-31 on the road
- Defensive Efficiency — Dodgers pitching/defense (3.7 RA/G) better than Brewers (3.8 RA/G)
San Diego Padres
- Injuries — Padres healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Brewers 5 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage — Padres are 46-31 at home this season; Brewers are 42-31 on the road
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