MLB2026 season
Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- TEX at HOUSun, Aug 2, 2026HOU 55%HOU 3–7
- TEX at HOUSat, Aug 1, 2026HOU 55%HOU 4–5
- TEX at HOUFri, Jul 31, 2026HOU 55%HOU 2–11
- HOU at TEXSun, Jul 12, 2026TEX 55%TEX 5–6
- HOU at TEXSat, Jul 11, 2026TEX 55%HOU 9–3
- HOU at TEXFri, Jul 10, 2026TEX 53%TEX 3–7
- HOU at TEXThu, May 28, 2026TEX 55%HOU 5–1
- HOU at TEXWed, May 27, 2026TEX 55%HOU 4–3
- HOU at TEXTue, May 26, 2026TEX 55%TEX 7–10
- HOU at TEXMon, May 25, 2026TEX 49%HOU 9–0
- TEX at HOUSun, May 17, 2026HOU 55%TEX 8–0
- TEX at HOUSat, May 16, 2026HOU 55%HOU 1–4
- TEX at HOUFri, May 15, 2026HOU 53%HOU 0–2
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
69%
9 of 13 decided games
Meetings graded
13
2026
Correct calls
9
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Houston Astros
- Home Field Advantage — Astros are 37-38 at home this season; Chicago White Sox are 31-43 on the road
Texas Rangers
- Defensive Efficiency — Rangers pitching/defense (4.4 RA/G) better than Twins (4.9 RA/G)
- Injuries — Rangers healthier (10 out, 0 doubtful) vs Twins (9 out, 0 doubtful)
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