Houston Astros at Texas Rangers
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
Scheduled
TEX 55%45% HOU
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate
Texas Rangers 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Rangers:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Astros (away)
Rangers (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Rangers55%
is favored to win
Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors TEX
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Texas Rangers
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
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What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
HOU
TEX
Home Field Advantage
Favours HOU|Favours TEX
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 7/9/2026, 8:45:03 AM
Key Players
Astros
Peter LambertSP
Hunter BrownSP
Spencer ArrighettiSP
Cristian JavierSP
Mike BurrowsSP
Rangers
Winston SantosSP
Jose CorniellSP
MacKenzie GoreSP
Jacob deGromSP
Jack LeiterSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Rangers has a 55% win probability, while Astros has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas.

