MLB2026 season
Houston Astros vs New York Mets
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sat, Mar 21, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
33%
1 of 3 decided games
Meetings graded
3
2026
Correct calls
1
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Houston Astros
- Home Field Advantage — Astros are 37-38 at home this season; Chicago White Sox are 31-43 on the road
New York Mets
- Defensive Efficiency — Mets pitching/defense (4.5 RA/G) better than Nationals (5.0 RA/G)
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