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Houston Astros at New York Mets

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Mets logo
Mets
New York
5
vs
Astros logo
Astros
Houston
7
NYM 61%39% HOU
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueClover Park
Port St. Lucie, Florida

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Astros (away)
Mets (home)
39%
Win probability
61%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Astros defeated the Mets 7-5.

Our model predicted the Mets would win with 61% confidence, but the Astros pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Key Players

Astros

Cristian JavierSP
Peter LambertSP
Spencer ArrighettiSP
Miguel UllolaSP
Tatsuya ImaiSP

Mets

Kodai SengaSP
Zach ThorntonSP
Jonah TongSP
Nolan McLeanSP
Freddy PeraltaSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Mets has a 61% win probability, while Astros has a 39% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Clover Park in Port St. Lucie, Florida.

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