Houston Astros at New York Mets
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Astros (away)
Mets (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Astros won 5-7
Astros won in a close game
Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Mets at 55%
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
HOU
NYM
Home Field Advantage
Favours HOU|Favours NYM
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/21/2026, 8:45:00 AM
Key Players
Astros
Mike BurrowsSP
Peter LambertSP
Spencer ArrighettiSP
Tatsuya ImaiSP
Cesar SalazarC
Mets
David PetersonSP
Nolan McLeanSP
Freddy PeraltaSP
Christian ScottSP
Zach ThorntonSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Mets has a 55% win probability, while Astros has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Clover Park in Port St. Lucie, Florida.