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New York Mets at Houston Astros

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Astros logo
Astros
Houston
8
vs
Mets logo
Mets
New York
2
HOU 62%38% NYM
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueCACTI Park of the Palm Beaches
Palm Beach, Florida

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Mets (away)
Astros (home)
38%
Win probability
62%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Astros defeated the Mets 8-2.

Our model predicted the Astros would win with 62% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Key Players

Mets

Kodai SengaSP
Zach ThorntonSP
Jonah TongSP
Nolan McLeanSP
Freddy PeraltaSP

Astros

Cristian JavierSP
Peter LambertSP
Spencer ArrighettiSP
Miguel UllolaSP
Tatsuya ImaiSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Astros has a 62% win probability, while Mets has a 38% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches in Palm Beach, Florida.

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