New York Mets at Houston Astros
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Mets (away)
Astros (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Astros won 8-2
Astros won by a solid margin
Prediction CorrectWe predicted Astros at 55%
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
NYM
HOU
Home Field Advantage
Favours NYM|Favours HOU
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/14/2026, 8:45:00 AM
Key Players
Mets
David PetersonSP
Nolan McLeanSP
Freddy PeraltaSP
Christian ScottSP
Zach ThorntonSP
Astros
Mike BurrowsSP
Peter LambertSP
Spencer ArrighettiSP
Tatsuya ImaiSP
Cesar SalazarC
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Astros has a 55% win probability, while Mets has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches in Palm Beach, Florida.