MLB2026 season
Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- KC at DETSun, Jul 26, 2026DET 55%KC 5–4
- KC at DETSat, Jul 25, 2026DET 55%KC 3–2
- KC at DETFri, Jul 24, 2026DET 55%DET 1–2
- KC at DETThu, Jul 23, 2026DET 49%DET 3–4
- DET at KCSun, May 10, 2026KC 55%DET 6–3
- DET at KCSat, May 9, 2026KC 55%KC 1–5
- DET at KCFri, May 8, 2026KC 53%KC 3–4
- KC at DETThu, Apr 16, 2026DET 55%DET 9–10
- KC at DETWed, Apr 15, 2026DET 55%DET 1–2
- KC at DETTue, Apr 14, 2026DET 55%DET 1–2
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10 decided games
Meetings graded
10
2026
Correct calls
6
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Detroit Tigers
- Defensive Efficiency — Tigers pitching/defense (4.0 RA/G) better than Pirates (4.6 RA/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Tigers are 36-32 at home this season; Pirates are 31-40 on the road
- ELO Rating — Tigers ELO 1529 vs Pirates ELO 1496 (diff: +33)
Kansas City Royals
- Home Field Advantage — Royals are 32-38 at home this season; Guardians are 38-32 on the road
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