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Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Royals logo
Royals
Kansas City
5
vs
Tigers logo
Tigers
Detroit
1
KC 55%45% DET
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueKauffman Stadium
Kansas City, Missouri

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Tigers (away)
Royals (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Royals defeated the Tigers 5-1.

Our model predicted the Royals would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Royals and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Royals (0 out) vs Tigers (0 out)
  • Rest Days was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar rest: Royals (back-to-back) vs Tigers (back-to-back)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Royals won 5-1

Royals won by a solid margin

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Royals at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

DET
KC
Home Field Advantage
Favours DET|Favours KC

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/9/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Tigers

Casey MizeSP
Framber ValdezSP
Keider MonteroSP
Jack FlahertySP
Kevin McGonigleSS

Royals

Seth LugoSP
Noah CameronSP
Michael WachaSP
Stephen KolekSP
Elias DiazC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Royals has a 55% win probability, while Tigers has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri.

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