PlayDecoded
Menu
MLB2026 season

Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Sun, Jun 21, 2026

Rockies logo
COL
Colorado Rockies
6
vs
Pirates logo
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
8
COL 55%45% PIT
Open the game page

This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
67%
4 of 6 decided games
Meetings graded
6
2026
Correct calls
4
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Colorado Rockies
  • Injuries — Rockies healthier (7 out, 0 doubtful) vs Chicago White Sox (9 out, 0 doubtful)
Pittsburgh Pirates
  • Injuries — Pirates healthier (5 out, 0 doubtful) vs Tigers (13 out, 0 doubtful)
  • Offensive Efficiency — Pirates offense (4.7 R/G) outpaces Tigers (4.5 R/G)

Get the weekly model report card

Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.