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Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Pirates logo
Pirates
Pittsburgh
7
vs
Rockies logo
Rockies
Colorado
2
PIT 55%45% COL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenuePNC Park
Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Rockies (away)
Pirates (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Pirates defeated the Rockies 7-2.

Our model predicted the Pirates would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Pirates and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Pirates (0 out) vs Rockies (0 out)
  • Rest Days was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar rest: Pirates (back-to-back) vs Rockies (back-to-back)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Pirates won 7-2

Pirates won by a solid margin

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Pirates at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

COL
PIT
Home Field Advantage
Favours COL|Favours PIT

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/14/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Rockies

Tomoyuki SuganoSP
Michael LorenzenSP
Blas CastanoSP
Kyle FreelandSP
Jose QuintanaSP

Pirates

Carmen MlodzinskiSP
Bubba ChandlerSP
Braxton AshcraftSP
Mitch KellerSP
Paul SkenesSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Pirates has a 55% win probability, while Rockies has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

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Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates - May 14, 2026 - MLB | PlayDecoded