MLB2026 season
Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- CLE at TBMon, Oct 19, 2026TB 75%TB 3–7
- TB at CLESun, Oct 18, 2026CLE 35%TB 3–1
- TB at CLESat, Oct 17, 2026CLE 35%TB 7–3
- TB at CLEThu, Oct 15, 2026CLE 35%CLE 2–3
- CLE at TBTue, Oct 13, 2026TB 74%TB 1–3
- CLE at TBMon, Oct 12, 2026TB 74%CLE 7–3
- CLE at TBSun, Jul 26, 2026TB 55%TB 0–1
- CLE at TBSat, Jul 25, 2026TB 55%TB 0–3
- CLE at TBFri, Jul 24, 2026TB 55%TB 3–11
- TB at CLEWed, Apr 29, 2026CLE 55%CLE 1–3
- TB at CLETue, Apr 28, 2026CLE 55%TB 1–0
- TB at CLEMon, Apr 27, 2026CLE 55%TB 3–2
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
67%
8 of 12 decided games
Meetings graded
12
2026
Correct calls
8
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Cleveland Guardians
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Tampa Bay Rays
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