MLB2026 season
Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Thu, Jul 23, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- MIN at CLEThu, Jul 23, 2026CLE 55%MIN 3–1
- MIN at CLEWed, Jul 22, 2026CLE 55%MIN 10–6
- MIN at CLETue, Jul 21, 2026CLE 55%CLE 2–5
- MIN at CLEMon, Jul 20, 2026CLE 55%CLE 4–13
- CLE at MINThu, Jul 9, 2026MIN 55%CLE 5–2
- CLE at MINWed, Jul 8, 2026MIN 55%MIN 5–6
- CLE at MINTue, Jul 7, 2026MIN 55%MIN 1–3
- MIN at CLESun, May 10, 2026CLE 55%MIN 5–4
- MIN at CLESat, May 9, 2026CLE 55%MIN 2–1
- MIN at CLEFri, May 8, 2026CLE 55%CLE 4–6
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10 decided games
Meetings graded
10
2026
Correct calls
5
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Cleveland Guardians
No recent factors yet.
Minnesota Twins
- Offensive Efficiency — Twins offense (4.6 R/G) outpaces Rangers (4.2 R/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Twins are 38-31 at home this season; Rangers are 30-38 on the road
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