MLB2026 season
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- CIN at STLSun, Jul 26, 2026STL 54%CIN 5–3
- CIN at STLSat, Jul 25, 2026STL 54%STL 0–7
- CIN at STLFri, Jul 24, 2026STL 53%CIN 4–2
- CIN at STLSun, Jun 7, 2026STL 54%STL 3–5
- CIN at STLSat, Jun 6, 2026STL 54%STL 5–6
- CIN at STLFri, Jun 5, 2026STL 54%STL 3–10
- STL at CINSat, May 23, 2026CIN 56%CIN 6–7
- STL at CINSat, May 23, 2026CIN 58%STL 8–1
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
63%
5 of 8 decided games
Meetings graded
8
2026
Correct calls
5
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Cincinnati Reds
- Injuries — Reds healthier (7 out, 0 doubtful) vs Blue Jays (14 out, 0 doubtful)
- Offensive Efficiency — Reds offense (4.1 R/G) outpaces Blue Jays (4.0 R/G)
St. Louis Cardinals
- Injuries — Cardinals healthier (6 out, 0 doubtful) vs Brewers (6 out, 0 doubtful)
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