MLB2026 season
Cincinnati Reds vs Kansas City Royals
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Wed, Jun 3, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
33%
1 of 3 decided games
Meetings graded
3
2026
Correct calls
1
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Cincinnati Reds
- Injuries — Reds healthier (7 out, 0 doubtful) vs Blue Jays (14 out, 0 doubtful)
- Offensive Efficiency — Reds offense (4.1 R/G) outpaces Blue Jays (4.0 R/G)
Kansas City Royals
- Home Field Advantage — Royals are 32-38 at home this season; Guardians are 38-32 on the road
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