MLB2026 season
Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- CHC at PITSun, Jul 26, 2026PIT 55%PIT 7–8
- CHC at PITSat, Jul 25, 2026PIT 55%CHC 11–0
- CHC at PITFri, Jul 24, 2026PIT 55%CHC 3–2
- CHC at PITThu, May 28, 2026PIT 55%CHC 7–2
- CHC at PITWed, May 27, 2026PIT 55%CHC 10–4
- CHC at PITTue, May 26, 2026PIT 55%PIT 1–12
- CHC at PITMon, May 25, 2026PIT 61%PIT 1–2
- PIT at CHCSun, Apr 12, 2026CHC 55%CHC 6–7
- PIT at CHCSat, Apr 11, 2026CHC 55%PIT 4–3
- PIT at CHCFri, Apr 10, 2026CHC 53%PIT 2–0
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10 decided games
Meetings graded
10
2026
Correct calls
4
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Chicago Cubs
- Offensive Efficiency — Cubs offense (5.2 R/G) outpaces Padres (4.5 R/G)
Pittsburgh Pirates
- Injuries — Pirates healthier (5 out, 0 doubtful) vs Tigers (13 out, 0 doubtful)
- Offensive Efficiency — Pirates offense (4.7 R/G) outpaces Tigers (4.5 R/G)
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