MLB2026 season

Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies

Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Thu, Apr 23, 2026

CHC

Chicago Cubs

PHI

Philadelphia Phillies

CHC 55%45% PHI

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This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

PHI at CHC
Thu, Apr 23, 2026
CHC 55%
CHC 7–8
PHI at CHC
Wed, Apr 22, 2026
CHC 55%
CHC 2–7
PHI at CHC
Tue, Apr 21, 2026
CHC 55%
CHC 4–7
PHI at CHC
Mon, Apr 20, 2026
CHC 55%
CHC 1–5
CHC at PHI
Wed, Apr 15, 2026
PHI 55%
CHC 11–2
CHC at PHI
Tue, Apr 14, 2026
PHI 55%
CHC 10–4
CHC at PHI
Mon, Apr 13, 2026
PHI 55%
PHI 7–13

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate

71%

5 of 7 decided games

Meetings graded

2026

Correct calls

Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.