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MLB2026 season

Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins

Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Thu, May 7, 2026

Marlins logo
MIA
Miami Marlins
4
vs
Orioles logo
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
3
MIA 55%45% BAL
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This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
33%
1 of 3 decided games
Meetings graded
3
2026
Correct calls
1
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Baltimore Orioles

No recent factors yet.

Miami Marlins
  • Injuries — Marlins healthier (10 out, 0 doubtful) vs Braves (10 out, 0 doubtful)
  • Home Field Advantage — Marlins are 38-28 at home this season; Braves are 39-33 on the road

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