MLB2026 season
Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Thu, Jul 9, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- ATL at PITThu, Jul 9, 2026PIT 55%ATL 10–5
- ATL at PITWed, Jul 8, 2026PIT 55%ATL 3–0
- ATL at PITTue, Jul 7, 2026PIT 63%PIT 4–12
- PIT at ATLSun, Jun 7, 2026ATL 54%ATL 2–3
- PIT at ATLSat, Jun 6, 2026ATL 54%ATL 3–6
- PIT at ATLFri, Jun 5, 2026ATL 60%ATL 3–6
- ATL at PITMon, Mar 23, 2026PIT 55%ATL 5–2
- PIT at ATLFri, Mar 20, 2026ATL 55%ATL 1–8
- ATL at PITThu, Mar 12, 2026—PIT 2–5
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
63%
5 of 8 decided games
Meetings graded
8
2026
Correct calls
5
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Atlanta Braves
- Home Field Advantage — Braves are 50-24 at home this season; Dodgers are 45-26 on the road
Pittsburgh Pirates
- Injuries — Pirates healthier (5 out, 0 doubtful) vs Tigers (13 out, 0 doubtful)
- Offensive Efficiency — Pirates offense (4.7 R/G) outpaces Tigers (4.5 R/G)
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