MLB2026 season
Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Thu, May 28, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- ATL at BOSThu, May 28, 2026BOS 54%ATL 10–2
- ATL at BOSWed, May 27, 2026BOS 54%BOS 0–8
- ATL at BOSTue, May 26, 2026BOS 54%ATL 7–6
- BOS at ATLSun, May 17, 2026ATL 56%ATL 1–8
- BOS at ATLSat, May 16, 2026ATL 56%BOS 3–2
- BOS at ATLFri, May 15, 2026ATL 55%ATL 2–3
- ATL at BOSSat, Mar 21, 2026BOS 55%ATL 6–1
- ATL at BOSTue, Mar 17, 2026BOS 55%BOS 3–4
- BOS at ATLSat, Mar 14, 2026ATL 55%ATL 1–10
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
56%
5 of 9 decided games
Meetings graded
9
2026
Correct calls
5
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Atlanta Braves
- Home Field Advantage — Braves are 50-24 at home this season; Dodgers are 45-26 on the road
Boston Red Sox
- ELO Rating — Yankees ELO 1533 vs Red Sox ELO 1567 (diff: -35)
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