Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Red Sox (away)
Braves (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Red Sox won 2-3
Red Sox won in a close game
Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Braves at 56%
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
BOS
ATL
Home Field Advantage
Favours BOS|Favours ATL
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 5/16/2026, 8:45:01 AM
Key Players
Red Sox
Ranger SuarezSP
Brayan BelloSP
Connelly EarlySP
Sonny GraySP
Payton TolleSP
Braves
Chris SaleSP
Spencer StriderSP
Bryce ElderSP
Grant HolmesSP
Martin PerezSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Braves has a 56% win probability, while Red Sox has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia.