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New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Phillies logo
Phillies
Philadelphia
2
vs
Mets logo
Mets
New York
4
PHI 52%48% NYM
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueBayCare Ballpark
Clearwater, Florida

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Mets (away)
Phillies (home)
48%
Win probability
52%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Mets defeated the Phillies 4-2.

Our model predicted the Phillies would win with 52% confidence, but the Mets pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Key Players

Mets

Freddy PeraltaSP
Nolan McLeanSP
Kodai SengaSP
Zac ThorntonSP
Jonah TongSP

Phillies

Zack WheelerSP
Aaron NolaSP
Cristopher SanchezSP
Andrew PainterSP
Alex McFarlaneSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Phillies has a 52% win probability, while Mets has a 48% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at BayCare Ballpark in Clearwater, Florida.

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