New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Mets (away)
Phillies (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Mets won 2-4
Mets won in a close game
Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Phillies at 56%
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
NYM
PHI
Home Field Advantage
Favours NYM|Favours PHI
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/9/2026, 7:27:55 AM
Key Players
Mets
David PetersonSP
Freddy PeraltaSP
Christian ScottSP
Zach ThorntonSP
Nolan McLeanSP
Phillies
Aaron NolaSP
Zack WheelerSP
Cristopher SanchezSP
Andrew PainterSP
Jesus LuzardoSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Phillies has a 56% win probability, while Mets has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at BayCare Ballpark in Clearwater, Florida.