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New York Mets at Miami Marlins

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Marlins logo
Marlins
Miami
4
vs
Mets logo
Mets
New York
3
MIA 56%44% NYM
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueRoger Dean Chevrolet Stadium
Jupiter, Florida

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Mets (away)
Marlins (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Marlins defeated the Mets 4-3.

Our model predicted the Marlins would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Key Players

Mets

Kodai SengaSP
Jonah TongSP
Christian ScottSP
Nolan McLeanSP
Zac ThorntonSP

Marlins

Max MeyerSP
Janson JunkSP
Ryan GustoSP
Eury PerezSP
Sandy AlcantaraSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Marlins has a 56% win probability, while Mets has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium in Jupiter, Florida.

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