New York Mets at Miami Marlins
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Mets (away)
Marlins (home)
82%
Win probability
18%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Marlins and the Mets played to a 5-5 draw.
Our model had predicted the Mets to win with 82% confidence. The game ended in a tie, a relatively rare outcome.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Key Players
Mets
Kodai SengaSP
Jonah TongSP
Christian ScottSP
Nolan McLeanSP
Zac ThorntonSP
Marlins
Max MeyerSP
Janson JunkSP
Ryan GustoSP
Eury PerezSP
Sandy AlcantaraSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Marlins has a 18% win probability, while Mets has a 82% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium in Jupiter, Florida.