Houston Astros at Pittsburgh Pirates
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Astros (away)
Pirates (home)
69%
Win probability
31%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Astros defeated the Pirates 10-2.
Our model predicted the Astros would win with 69% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Key Players
Astros
Peter LambertSP
Hunter BrownSP
Spencer ArrighettiSP
Cristian JavierSP
Mike BurrowsSP
Pirates
Jared JonesSP
Paul SkenesSP
Antwone KellySP
Noah MurdockSP
Bubba ChandlerSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Pirates has a 31% win probability, while Astros has a 69% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at LECOM Park in Bradenton, Florida.