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NHL2026-27 season

Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators

Head-to-head win probability for NHL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Sat, Sep 26, 2026

Senators logo
OTT
Ottawa Senators
4
vs
Canadiens logo
MTL
Montreal Canadiens
3
OTT 39%61% MTL
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This season

2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

No 2026-27 meetings yet.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Montreal Canadiens
  • Injuries — Canadiens healthier: 6 out, 0 doubtful vs Maple Leafs 10 out, 0 doubtful
  • ELO Rating — Maple Leafs ELO 1477 vs Canadiens ELO 1525 (diff: -48)
Ottawa Senators
  • Home Field Advantage — Senators are 5-3 at home this season; Utah Hockey Club are 5-5 on the road

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