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Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Penguins logo
Penguins
Pittsburgh
3
vs
Flyers logo
Flyers
Philadelphia
2
PIT 56%44% PHI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenuePPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh, PA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Flyers (away)
Penguins (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Penguins defeated the Flyers 3-2.

Our model predicted the Penguins would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Penguins and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Turnover Differential was neutral and a contributing factor: No turnover stats available for comparison
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Penguins won 3-2

Penguins won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Penguins at 56%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

PHI
PIT
Home Field Advantage
Favours PHI|Favours PIT

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/27/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Flyers

Dan VladarG
Samuel ErssonG
Carson BjarnasonG
Aleksei KolosovG
Denver BarkeyC

Penguins

Stuart SkinnerG
Arturs SilovsG
Taylor GauthierG
Ben KindelC
Blake LizotteC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Penguins has a 56% win probability, while Flyers has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA.

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