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Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Stars logo
Stars
Dallas
4
vs
Wild logo
Wild
Minnesota
2
DAL 56%44% MIN
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Wild (away)
Stars (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Stars defeated the Wild 4-2.

Our model predicted the Stars would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Stars and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Turnover Differential was neutral and a contributing factor: No turnover stats available for comparison
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Stars won 4-2

Stars won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Stars at 56%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

MIN
DAL
Home Field Advantage
Favours MIN|Favours DAL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/20/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Wild

Chase WutzkeG
Riley MercerG
Filip GustavssonG
Cal PetersenG
Jesper WallstedtG

Stars

Casey DeSmithG
Jake OettingerG
Ben KrawsG
Roope HintzC
Justin HryckowianC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Stars has a 56% win probability, while Wild has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX.

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